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v2026.1714 entries · CC-BY 4.0
Dictionary termTrack CStablev2026.2

Specification curve

An analytic and visual technique that plots the estimated effect across a large set of theoretically defensible model specifications, ordered by effect size, to convey the sensitivity of the result to analytical choices.

ByCASRAI Editorial Board
· Last updated 21 May 2026

Examples

Worked examples

  • Is an instance

    A 1,000-specification curve of a wage-effect estimate across choices of controls, sample restrictions, and functional forms.

  • Is an instance

    A specification curve in a developmental psychology paper showing effect-size variation across 64 plausible models.

Counter-examples

Looks similar, but isn't

  • Not an instance

    A single sensitivity analysis varying one covariate.

  • Not an instance

    A pre-registered single model.

Editorial commentary

Specification curves operationalise transparency about researcher degrees of freedom. The accompanying inferential test (joint significance across the curve) addresses whether the observed distribution of estimates is consistent with the null hypothesis. They are closely related to, and often produced as part of, multiverse analyses.

References

  • Simonsohn, Simmons, Nelson, 'Specification curve analysis' (Nature Human Behaviour, 2020).

Also known as

specification curve analysis · SCA

Machine-readable encodings

Use in your systems

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Schema.org DefinedTerm (JSON-LD)
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