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v2026.1714 entries · CC-BY 4.0
Dictionary termTrack CStablev2026.2

HARKing (Hypothesising After Results are Known)

Presenting a post-hoc hypothesis, formulated after data analysis, as if it had been the a priori hypothesis under test.

ByCASRAI Editorial Board
· Last updated 21 May 2026

Examples

Worked examples

  • Is an instance

    Reporting an exploratory subgroup finding as the primary confirmatory hypothesis.

  • Is an instance

    Re-framing a discovery study as a confirmatory study after the fact.

Counter-examples

Looks similar, but isn't

  • Not an instance

    A genuinely pre-registered hypothesis test.

  • Not an instance

    An explicitly labelled exploratory analysis.

Editorial commentary

Kerr (1998) introduced HARKing as a methodological diagnosis. It is structurally distinct from p-hacking: HARKing changes the stated hypothesis to match the result, whereas p-hacking changes the analysis to obtain a result. Pre-registration and registered reports are the principal defences against HARKing.

References

  • Kerr, 'HARKing: Hypothesizing after the results are known' (Personality and Social Psychology Review, 1998); Rubin, 'The costs of HARKing' (British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 2022).

Also known as

HARKing

Machine-readable encodings

Use in your systems

JATS XML <role> element
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Schema.org DefinedTerm (JSON-LD)
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