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v2026.11,858 entries · CC-BY 4.0
NIKOLAI elementN1 · Actors, models and scopeProposednikolai-v0.1

Risk domain

NIKOLAI proposal (unsourced): the top-level category of catastrophic harm under which threat models, thresholds and evaluations are grouped, drawn as a controlled ladder of values (e.g. CBRN, Cyber offence, Loss of control, Harmful manipulation) that a given framework selects from. Note: this reused slug was previously drafted under the manifest's N2 ("Threat models and risk framing") track; this cluster's explicit instructions assign Cluster A elements to N1, so the track conflict is flagged here for the merge step to reconcile rather than silently resolved.

This is CASRAI's own proposed definition, not a definition any named organisation has agreed to. See what NIKOLAI is and is not.

Source of record

Where this definition comes from

  • EU GPAI Code of Practice, Safety and Security Chapter, Appendix 1.4

    Appendix 1.4 "Specified systemic risks": "(1) Chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear ... (2) Loss of control ... (3) Cyber offence ... (4) Harmful manipulation: Risks from enabling the strategic distortion of human behaviour or beliefs by targeting large populations or high-stakes decision-makers through persuasion, deception, or personalised targeting ..." -- the taxonomy xAI's FAIF footnotes say it adopts.

    https://ec.europa.eu/newsroom/dae/redirection/document/118119
  • Anthropic Advanced AI Framework, p.4

    "Enumerated Risk categories": "catastrophic risks related to (a) biological weapons, (b) offensive cyber operations, (c) loss of control, and (d) automated research and development in key domains that could accelerate or amplify risks (a)-(c)."

    https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/files/4zrzovbb/website/0a58d567024a8b448ff15158ebc3625328dfcc1f.pdf
  • Frontier Model Forum, Risk Taxonomy and Thresholds technical report, s2.4, p.9

    "Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear (CBRN) Threats", "Advanced Cyber Threats", "Advanced Autonomous Behavior Threats"

    https://www.frontiermodelforum.org/technical-reports/risk-taxonomy-and-thresholds/

Crosswalk

How named organisations use this concept

Every row below is a shadow mapping. It is CASRAI's own reading of a published document. No lab, evaluator or regulator named here has declared, endorsed, or been consulted on this mapping. That will change only when an organisation files its own Mapping Declaration — see the non-endorsement policy.
OrganisationTheir term, as publishedMatchSource
Anthropic
Risk Report / Advanced AI Framework
Four threat models in three sections: misalignment in high-stakes settings (Autonomy TM1), automated R&D in key domains (TM2), CB-1 and CB-2 (para.). AAF "Enumerated Risk categories": "catastrophic risks related to (a) biological weapons, (b) offensive cyber operations, (c) loss of control, and (d) automated research and development in key domains that could accelerate or amplify risks (a)-(c)." (p.4)exact
confidence: high
Anthropic Advanced AI Framework, legislative proposal
OpenAI
Preparedness Framework v2 / Frontier Governance Framework
PF "Tracked Categories": Biological and Chemical; Cybersecurity; AI Self-improvement. "Research Categories": Long-range Autonomy; Sandbagging; Autonomous Replication and Adaptation; Undermining Safeguards; Nuclear and Radiological (Tables 1 and 2). FGF risk categories: "Cyber offense", "CBRN", "Harmful manipulation", "Loss of control" (§2.1).exact
confidence: high
OpenAI Preparedness Framework v2
Google DeepMind
Frontier Safety Framework v3.1
"CBRN", "Cyber", "Harmful Manipulation", "ML R&D and Misalignment" (glossary, p.18).exact
confidence: high
Google DeepMind Frontier Safety Framework v3.1
xAI
Frontier AI Framework, 30 Jun 2026
"CBRN Risks", "Offensive Cybersecurity Risks", "Loss of Control Risks", "Harmful Manipulation Risks" (s.1), with fn 1: "Terminology used in the The Safety and Security Chapter of the General-Purpose AI Code of Practice developed under the EU AI Act." Harmful Manipulation notably has no "Addressing" subsection unlike the other three domains.
This source's PDF metadata /Title reads "Privileged/Confidential DRAFT working FRAMEWORK DOC"; no xAI statement disambiguating draft vs. final status was found (open [VERIFY] item in the source document's register). The EQ score covers the domain-naming match only; the missing "Addressing" subsection for Harmful Manipulation is itself a DU-type gap within this otherwise-EQ row.
exact
confidence: high
xAI Frontier AI Framework, 30 Jun 2026
Meta
Advanced AI Scaling Framework v2
"Chemical & Biological, Cybersecurity, and Loss of Control" (preamble p.2). "Risk domain: is used to describe the thematic grouping that a set of catastrophic outcomes belong to" (Appendix I).exact
confidence: high
Meta Advanced AI Scaling Framework v2
EU
Safety and Security chapter
Appendix 1.4 "Specified systemic risks", verbatim: "(1) Chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear: Risks from enabling chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (CBRN) attacks or accidents ... (2) Loss of control: Risks from humans losing the ability to reliably direct, modify, or shut down a model ... (3) Cyber offence: Risks from enabling large-scale sophisticated cyber-attacks, including on critical systems ... (4) Harmful manipulation: Risks from enabling the strategic distortion of human behaviour or beliefs by targeting large populations or high-stakes decision-makers through persuasion, deception, or personalised targeting ..." -- the taxonomy xAI's FAIF footnotes say it adopts.exact
confidence: high
EU GPAI Code of Practice, Safety and Security Chapter
California SB 53
SB 53 statute text
Catastrophic-risk pathways: (A) CBRN "expert-level assistance"; (B) conduct "with no meaningful human oversight ... that is either a cyberattack or ... would constitute the crime of murder, assault, extortion, or theft"; (C) "Evading the control of its frontier developer or user" (22757.11(c)).
SB 53 frames these as incident *pathways* (mechanisms), not a domain taxonomy per se; mapped here as close because the pathways cluster along the same CBRN / cyber / loss-of-control lines as the other sources' domains.
close
confidence: medium
California SB 53
US Government (Executive Order 14409 / NIST CAISI)
Executive Order 14409 / CAISI bulletin
EO 14409 addresses only "advanced cyber capabilities" (Sec. 3(a)); CAISI frames its agreements as "Frontier AI National Security Testing".narrow
confidence: medium
Executive Order 14409
Frontier Model Forum
Risk Taxonomy and Thresholds technical report
"Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear (CBRN) Threats", "Advanced Cyber Threats", "Advanced Autonomous Behavior Threats" (s2.4, p.9).exact
confidence: high
Frontier Model Forum, Risk Taxonomy and Thresholds technical report
Safety Framework Cards (discovery)
Safety Framework Cards (SSRN 7061798, unread/paywalled)
"risk ontology" is one of six evaluation dimensions (secondary) [UV].
SFC full text is paywalled on SSRN and could not be read; the {DEV} discovery-sweep tag does not resolve to a single fetchable URL in the provided sources table.
none
confidence: low
Discovery sweep: Safety Framework Cards (SSRN 7061798, unread/paywalled)
STREAM (discovery sweep)
STREAM pilot (arXiv 2508.09853)
"ChemBio only" (para.) [UV] -- STREAM's disclosure pilot is scoped to ChemBio benchmarks only, per the discovery sweep.
Cited via the compound {DEV} discovery-sweep tag, which does not resolve to a single fetchable URL in the provided sources table; STREAM's own arXiv id was read directly from the source document's open-VERIFY register (item 6) but no URL for it appears in the provided sources table.
none
confidence: low
Discovery sweep: STREAM (arXiv 2508.09853)

Divergence

Where sources materially disagree

Slug/track note: this element reuses the pre-existing "risk-domain" slug from the 25-element manifest, which was previously filed under track N2 ("Threat models and risk framing"). This cluster's explicit A-to-N1 track mapping instruction is followed here (track recorded as N1), but the mismatch with the slug's existing N2 placement should be reconciled at merge time, not silently overwritten.

Gap

"Harmful manipulation" is a domain in the FGF, FSF, FAIF and (reportedly) the Code, but it is exploratory or unaddressed in all three lab texts. "AI R&D" is a Tracked Category (OpenAI), part of a merged domain (GDM), a threat model (Anthropic) and an enabling capability under Loss of Control (Meta).

Referenced across the research world

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