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v2026.11,986 entries · CC-BY 4.0
NIKOLAI elementN7 · IncidentsProposednikolai-v0.3

Incident severity

Definition

Incident severity is a rating of how serious an AI incident is, judged by the kind and scale of harm it caused or could have caused. Severity decides how fast an incident is escalated inside the developer, which reporting deadline applies, and how much detail the report must contain.

Also called: Seriousness

NIKOLAI's proposed operational definition

NIKOLAI editorial proposal: Incident severity is a controlled value rating how serious an Incident is, recorded with the scale used, the rating given, who assigned it and when. Sources use severity for three different jobs: to route internal escalation (OpenAI), to choose the reporting clock and level of report detail (EU Code of Practice), and to separate reportable incidents from lower-severity events (Frontier Model Forum, OECD). NIKOLAI records the source's own scale rather than imposing one ladder.

The operational definition is CASRAI's own proposal, not a definition any named organisation has agreed to. See what NIKOLAI is and is not, or browse the AI safety glossary.

Examples

Examples from published documents

  • OpenAI's incident plan sets procedures "for determining severity and notifying appropriate internal teams" once a potential incident is identified (OpenAI Frontier Governance Framework, §2.6)
  • Anthropic rated a 2026 vendor-access incident as low risk: "Despite the features that make this incident notable, we assess the risk it posed to have been low." (Anthropic Risk Report, August 2026, §4.5.8.2.1)

Counter-examples

Not to be confused with

  • Severity is not likelihood: a severity rating describes the harm of an incident that occurred or nearly occurred, while a risk level combines how bad an outcome would be with how likely it is.
  • Severity is not incident type: the EU Code uses harm type to set deadlines, but two incidents of the same type (for example two cybersecurity breaches) can differ greatly in seriousness.

Related terms

Related AI safety terms

Terms defined under this element that are not NIKOLAI elements themselves, each as the cited document uses it. Every term is also listed in the AI safety glossary.

Intervention threshold
Intervention threshold is OpenAI's term for a severity-based threshold that sets how it responds to misaligned model behaviour during training: immediate containment, mitigation during the training run, or mitigation before the next run.
Source: OpenAI/Hugging Face Incident Technical Report

Source of record

Where this definition comes from

Crosswalk

How named organisations use this concept

Every row below is a shadow mapping. A shadow row is CASRAI's own reading of a published document. No lab, evaluator or regulator named on a shadow row has declared, endorsed, or been consulted on it. That changes only when an organisation files its own Mapping Declaration.
OrganisationTheir term, as publishedMatch & verificationSource
OpenAIShadow mapping
OpenAI Frontier Governance Framework
“AIRP procedures "for determining severity and notifying appropriate internal teams" (§2.6).”
The AIRP itself is not public, so the scale is unknown.
closeCL
confidence: high
OpenAI Frontier Governance Framework
OpenAIShadow mapping
OpenAI/Hugging Face Incident Technical Report
“"Enforcing intervention thresholds during reinforcement learning training runs to establish clear, severity-based thresholds for responding to misalignment, including thresholds for when OpenAI pursues immediate containment, mitigation during training, and mitigation before the next run." (§IX.C)”
A planned measure; the thresholds are not published.
closeCL
confidence: medium
OpenAI/Hugging Face Incident Technical Report
EUShadow mapping
EU GPAI Code of Practice, Safety and Security Chapter
“Resourcing "appropriate for the severity of the serious incident and the degree of involvement of their model" (Commitment 9); report detail "appropriate for the severity of the incident" (Measure 9.2); deadlines tiered by harm type (Measure 9.3).”
Severity is expressed through harm type and deadline tier, not a named scale.
closeCL
confidence: high
EU GPAI Code of Practice, Safety and Security Chapter
EUShadow mapping
EU AI Act (Regulation (EU) 2024/1689), Article 73(2)
“"The period for the reporting referred to in the first subparagraph shall take account of the severity of the serious incident." (Art. 73(2))”
Applies to providers of high-risk AI systems, not to general-purpose AI model providers.
broadBR
confidence: high
EU AI Act (Regulation (EU) 2024/1689), Article 73
OECDShadow mapping
OECD, Defining AI incidents and related terms (2024)
“Three nested tiers: "AI incident", "serious AI incident" ("a subset of AI incidents") and "AI disaster" ("a subset of serious AI incidents"); "Assessing the seriousness of an AI incident is highly context-dependent".”closeCL
confidence: high
OECD, Defining AI incidents and related terms (OECD Artificial Intelligence Papers No. 16, 2024)
Frontier Model ForumShadow mapping
Frontier Model Forum -- Information Sharing Issue Brief
“Reporting regimes should address "the boundary between reportable incidents and lower-severity incidents or precursor events."”broadBR
confidence: medium
Frontier Model Forum -- Information Sharing Issue Brief
US Congress (S. 5061, 119th Congress, not enacted)Shadow mapping
S. 5061, Sec. 4(a)(2)(D)
“NIST shall prioritise database inclusion of incidents that "would result in a high-severity or catastrophic impact to the people or economy of the United States" (Sec. 4(a)(2)(D)(ii)).”
S. 5061 is a bill introduced in the US Senate on 21 July 2026; it has not been enacted.
broadBR
confidence: medium
S. 5061 (119th Congress)
AnthropicShadow mapping
Anthropic Risk Report (August 2026)
“Per-incident risk rating, e.g. "Despite the features that make this incident notable, we assess the risk it posed to have been low." (§4.5.8.2.1)”
Uses the report's general risk-level words, not an incident-specific scale.
closeCL
confidence: medium
Anthropic Risk Report (August 2026)
What do these codes mean?
exact
The source term is equivalent to this element
close
The source term is close but not equivalent to this element
broad
The source term is broader than this element
narrow
The source term is narrower than this element
none
No mapping claim — used for false-friend and declared-but-undefined rows
EQ
Equivalent
CL
Close
BR
Source is broader than the element
NR
Source is narrower than the element
FF
False friend — same or similar label, different meaning
DU
Declared but undefined by the source
UV
Unverified

Related, not mapped

Pointers that are not crosswalk claims

These sources mention this concept but do not define or map it clearly enough to count as a crosswalk row — noted here so the research is visible without overstating it as a mapping.

Divergence

Where sources materially disagree

Severity does different work in each source. OpenAI uses it to route internal escalation; the EU Code of Practice uses harm type to pick a 2-, 5-, 10- or 15-day clock and scales report detail to severity; the OECD and the Frontier Model Forum use it to separate reportable from lower-severity events; California SB 53 has no severity field because each of its four incident limbs already contains a harm threshold.

Gap

No source publishes a numbered incident-severity scale for frontier AI. OpenAI's AIRP severity levels and its RL intervention thresholds are described but not published, and the OECD leaves seriousness to each jurisdiction.

Referenced across the research world

University of Cambridge logoColumbia University logoCrossref logoUniversity of Edinburgh logoHarvard University logoUniversity of Oxford logoPrinceton University logoStanford School of Medicine logoUniversity College London logoORCID logoUniversity of Cambridge logoColumbia University logoCrossref logoUniversity of Edinburgh logoHarvard University logoUniversity of Oxford logoPrinceton University logoStanford School of Medicine logoUniversity College London logoORCID logo
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  • Stanford School of Medicine logo
  • University College London logo
  • ORCID logo

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