Skip to main content
v2026.11,986 entries · CC-BY 4.0
NIKOLAI elementN4 · Claims and argumentProposednikolai-v0.3

Risk Report

Definition

A risk report is a document in which an AI developer sets out its overall assessment of catastrophic risk from its models as of a stated date, including capabilities, threat models, safeguards, the risk that remains, and the decision taken on that basis.

NIKOLAI's proposed operational definition

NIKOLAI proposes Risk Report as the record of a document in which a developer states its overall assessment of catastrophic or systemic risk as of a stated date, the capabilities, threat models and mitigations that assessment rests on, the risk remaining after mitigations, and the decision taken on that basis. A Risk Report record contains Claim, Limitation, Risk Level and Residual Risk Determination records and points to its document type (N1). Sources differ on scope: some reports cover a whole company's activities, others a single model. This is a NIKOLAI editorial proposal; it does not restate any one source's definition.

The operational definition is CASRAI's own proposal, not a definition any named organisation has agreed to. See what NIKOLAI is and is not, or browse the AI safety glossary.

Examples

Examples from published documents

  • Anthropic's August 2026 Risk Report states: "This report is not scoped to a single AI model. Rather, it is a risk assessment of Anthropic's activities as a whole" (Anthropic Risk Report, August 2026, §1)
  • Anthropic's Responsible Scaling Policy commits: "We will publish a Risk Report every 3-6 months", each covering risks "as of a given coverage date" (Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy v3.4, §3.1)
  • An EU Model Report must give "a detailed justification for why the systemic risks stemming from the model are acceptable, including details of the safety margins incorporated" (EU GPAI Code of Practice, Safety and Security Chapter, Measure 7.2)

Counter-examples

Not to be confused with

  • A safety framework is not a risk report: the framework states how risks will be assessed and handled, while a risk report applies it and gives the result as of a date.
  • A model card or system card describes one model's capabilities and testing; Anthropic's Advanced AI Framework treats system cards as per-model updates to the risk report's assessment, not as replacements for it.

Related terms

Related AI safety terms

Terms defined under this element that are not NIKOLAI elements themselves, each as the cited document uses it. Every term is also listed in the AI safety glossary.

Capabilities Report
A Capabilities Report is OpenAI's internal compilation of a covered model's evaluation results and noteworthy observations, submitted to its Safety Advisory Group to decide whether a capability threshold has been reached.
Source: OpenAI Preparedness Framework v2
Safety and Security Model Report
A Safety and Security Model Report ("Model Report") is the document an EU GPAI Code signatory gives the AI Office before placing a model on the market, describing the model, its systemic risk assessment and mitigations, and why the risks are acceptable.
Source: EU GPAI Code of Practice, Safety and Security Chapter
Transparency report (SB 53)
A transparency report, under California SB 53, is published before or with a new frontier model's deployment; large developers must summarise their catastrophic risk assessments, the results, and how far third-party evaluators were involved.
Source: California SB 53

Source of record

Where this definition comes from

  • Anthropic Advanced AI Framework, p.6

    “"Risk reports. Require Covered Developers to publish a risk report at least every six months that offers an overall assessment of each of the Enumerated Risks posed by the developer's models." Contents include "An assessment of the risk in each Enumerated Risk category that remains after accounting for the safety mitigations the developer has in place." (p.6)”

    https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/files/4zrzovbb/website/0a58d567024a8b448ff15158ebc3625328dfcc1f.pdf
  • EU GPAI Code of Practice, Safety and Security Chapter, Commitment 7

    “"Signatories commit to reporting to the AI Office information about their model and their systemic risk assessment and mitigation processes and measures by creating a Safety and Security Model Report ("Model Report") before placing a model on the market" (Commitment 7)”

    https://ec.europa.eu/newsroom/dae/redirection/document/118119

Crosswalk

How named organisations use this concept

Every row below is a shadow mapping. A shadow row is CASRAI's own reading of a published document. No lab, evaluator or regulator named on a shadow row has declared, endorsed, or been consulted on it. That changes only when an organisation files its own Mapping Declaration.
OrganisationTheir term, as publishedMatch & verificationSource
AnthropicShadow mapping
Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy v3.4
“"A Risk Report will cover the risks of Anthropic's models and actions as of a given coverage date, which will be no more than 30 days prior to the publication of the report." "We will publish a Risk Report every 3-6 months." (§3.1)”
Verified against CASRAI's local capture of the RSP v3.4 PDF (extracted 16 Sep 2026).
exactEQ
confidence: high
Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy v3.4
AnthropicShadow mapping
Anthropic Risk Report, August 2026
“"This report is not scoped to a single AI model. Rather, it is a risk assessment of Anthropic's activities as a whole. We consider all of our models, including those we run only internally, in our assessment." (§1)”exactEQ
confidence: high
Anthropic Risk Report, August 2026
AnthropicShadow mapping
Anthropic Advanced AI Framework
“Recommends that Covered Developers "publish a risk report at least every six months that offers an overall assessment of each of the Enumerated Risks posed by the developer's models", with capabilities, "The threat models being tracked, how observed capabilities map to them, and the mitigations addressing each", and residual risk (p.6).”
A legislative proposal by Anthropic, not an enacted requirement.
exactEQ
confidence: high
Anthropic Advanced AI Framework
EUShadow mapping
EU GPAI Code of Practice, Safety and Security Chapter
“"Safety and Security Model Report ("Model Report")" created "before placing a model on the market" and kept up to date (Commitment 7); it must give "a detailed justification for why the systemic risks stemming from the model are acceptable, including details of the safety margins incorporated" (Measure 7.2).”
Per model rather than per company, and addressed to the EU AI Office rather than published.
closeCL
confidence: high
EU GPAI Code of Practice, Safety and Security Chapter
OpenAIShadow mapping
OpenAI Preparedness Framework v2
“Two per-model internal reports: evaluation results "are compiled into a Capabilities Report that is submitted to the SAG" (§3.3); "We compile the information on the planned safeguards needed to minimize the risk of severe harm into a Safeguards Report", which includes "An assessment on the residual risk of severe harm based on the deployment" (§4.2).”
Narrower: each report covers one part (capabilities or safeguards) of one model's assessment and is addressed to OpenAI's Safety Advisory Group.
narrowNR
confidence: high
OpenAI Preparedness Framework v2
MetaShadow mapping
Meta Advanced AI Scaling Framework v2
“Meta incorporates evaluation results "into our preparedness reports", and "Preparedness reports will also disclose any known issues that could hinder generalizing our safety testing to real-world risks" (§2.1, §2.2.1).”closeCL
confidence: medium
Meta Advanced AI Scaling Framework v2
Google DeepMindShadow mapping
Gemini 3.7 Flash FSF Report
“Per-model "Frontier Safety Framework Report – Gemini 3.7 Flash" (title page), reporting for each risk domain whether a T/CCL was reached and the resulting deployment determination.”
A per-model report under the framework; the report does not describe itself as a risk report (CASRAI reading).
narrowNR
confidence: medium
Gemini 3.7 Flash FSF Report
California SB 53Shadow mapping
California SB 53
“Transparency report published "Before, or concurrently with, deploying a new frontier model"; a large frontier developer must include summaries of "(A) Assessments of catastrophic risks from the frontier model conducted pursuant to the large frontier developer's frontier AI framework. (B) The results of those assessments. (C) The extent to which third-party evaluators were involved." (22757.12(c)(1)-(2))”
Verified against CASRAI's local capture of the statute text; leginfo.legislature.ca.gov blocked automated retrieval on 2026-11-13. Statute does not define the term "transparency report".
narrowNR
confidence: high
California SB 53
What do these codes mean?
exact
The source term is equivalent to this element
close
The source term is close but not equivalent to this element
broad
The source term is broader than this element
narrow
The source term is narrower than this element
none
No mapping claim — used for false-friend and declared-but-undefined rows
EQ
Equivalent
CL
Close
BR
Source is broader than the element
NR
Source is narrower than the element
FF
False friend — same or similar label, different meaning
DU
Declared but undefined by the source
UV
Unverified

Related, not mapped

Pointers that are not crosswalk claims

These sources mention this concept but do not define or map it clearly enough to count as a crosswalk row — noted here so the research is visible without overstating it as a mapping.

Divergence

Where sources materially disagree

Sources disagree on three axes. Scope: Anthropic's Risk Report covers "Anthropic's activities as a whole", while the EU Model Report, OpenAI's Capabilities and Safeguards Reports and Google DeepMind's FSF reports are per model. Audience: Anthropic, Google DeepMind and SB 53 transparency reports are public; the EU Model Report goes to the AI Office; OpenAI's reports go to its internal Safety Advisory Group. Cadence: every 3-6 months (Anthropic RSP v3.4), every six months (Anthropic's AAF proposal), before market placement with updates (EU), before or with each deployment (SB 53).

Gap

CASRAI did not find a shared section order or machine-readable format for risk reports in these sources; SB 53 lists required contents but sets no format.

Referenced across the research world

University of Cambridge logoColumbia University logoCrossref logoUniversity of Edinburgh logoHarvard University logoUniversity of Oxford logoPrinceton University logoStanford School of Medicine logoUniversity College London logoORCID logoUniversity of Cambridge logoColumbia University logoCrossref logoUniversity of Edinburgh logoHarvard University logoUniversity of Oxford logoPrinceton University logoStanford School of Medicine logoUniversity College London logoORCID logo
  • University of Cambridge logo
  • Columbia University logo
  • Crossref logo
  • University of Edinburgh logo
  • Harvard University logo
  • University of Oxford logo
  • Princeton University logo
  • Stanford School of Medicine logo
  • University College London logo
  • ORCID logo

View CASRAI adoption →